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Canada: Food prices are set to rise in 2021 — and farmers, food-insecure people will take a hit

Above, the blue area represents Canadian total farm sales, while the green represents Canadian farms’ net income. The discrepancy between the two originates in a mismatch between farmers’ costs of production and the price they receive for their products — prices set by Canada’s grocery chains. Graph by Darrin Qualman/National Farmers Union.

“We need a whole system change where we improve people’s income so they can afford to pay higher food prices that actually reflect the true cost of production — including social, health and ecological externalities.”

By Marc Fawcett-Atkinson
National Observer
December 7th 2020

Excerpt:

A Canadian family of four can expect to spend almost $700 more on food next year, according to a report released Tuesday. That’s about a five per cent increase compared to 2020.

The annual study, a collaboration between food researchers at four universities now in its 11th year, uses economic data, observed market trends and AI to predict food prices. Their analysis shows that meat, baked goods and vegetables will likely see the greatest increases, reflecting the pandemic-related challenges — from COVID-19 outbreaks in processing plants to low oil prices — that have faced Canada’s still-resilient food supply chain this year.

“With the exception of some short-term hoarding of high-demand food products, the various supply chains continue to function remarkably well,” said James Vercammen, project co-lead and professor of land and food systems at the University of British Columbia.
“But consumers need to understand that Canada imports a sizable fraction of its fresh fruits and vegetables from the U.S., Mexico and other countries. The potential exists for significant disruptions in these imports if there (are additional waves) of the COVID-19 pandemic.”

Read the complete article here.